"We should probably just have a Constitutional amendment that says a president can't be older than 75 on Inauguration Day," Silver wrote.

Polls are more reliable in swing states, especially in the Sun Belt. Want to know who will win the 2024 presidential election? Flip a coin. The race is very likely to come down to seven key swing ...

HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) -- 538 Politics has released its forecast of the U.S. Senate for this year's election. While the race here between incumbent Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Rep. Colin Allred is neck ...

The eight battleground states as defined by Real Clear Politics will account for 93 of the 538 electoral votes. Polymarket has underscored in its recent "The Oracle" newsletters that the ...

The polls in Arizona could hardly be closer. As of Oct. 24 at 2:30 p.m. Eastern, Trump leads Harris 48.6 percent to 46.7 percent in 538's polling average of the state.* While Trump's lead is ...

Here's everything that goes into this year's model. On Wednesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the U.S. Senate. The model powering this forecast combines our polling averages for ...

Introducing 538's forecast for the 2024 U.S. Senate elections. As a ridiculously close election enters its final stretch, the balance of power in the U.S. looks totally up for grabs. In 538’s ...

More than $538 million in advertising dollars spent by former President Trump and Vice President Harris’ presidential campaigns and their allies have been poured into the critical battleground ...

Policies to boost EVs are still popular, but losing support. On the campaign trail this election cycle, former President Donald Trump has indulged in a singular rant about electric boats and ...

If you go by betting odds, Trump is going to get a second opportunity to Make America Great Again. According to realclearpolling, Republican candidate Trump has a 59 percent chance of winning the ...

The closest election of the century keeps getting closer. Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former ...