In my 50-plus years of running money, I’ve noticed that the biggest market moves come from factors that have gone unnoticed – and right now, there’s a doozy lurking under the table. Amid all the ...

Unlike the regular yield curve, the real yield curve hadn’t yet been inverted—at least not until recently. According to Steven Blitz at TS Lombard, the real yield curve finally inverted last ...

The yield curve—which measures the yield to maturity of bonds across various maturities—sloped down at the end of July, as shown in Exhibit 1, meaning bonds with shorter maturities had a ...

The longest inverted yield curve on record may finally be in the rearview mirror. The yield on the 2-year note closed at 3.651%, according to Tradeweb, lower than the 10-year yield, which settled ...

Yield curve inversion is not a lasting feature of the capital markets landscape. Know that whenever the yield curve is inverted, investors have already begun to anticipate its “normalization” which ...

One common measure of the yield curve has hovered this year at levels last reached 40 years ago, with the yield on two-year debt roughly 0.9 percentage points higher than the yield on 10-year notes.

How to Stay Ahead of Yield Curve Inversions As noted above, YCharts has pre-built 10-2 year, 10 year-3 month, and 30-10 year spread indicators for tracking relationships between short and long ...

Labor-market worries are driving the yield on the two-year Treasury note slightly below the 10-year yield, threatening a run that stretches back to mid-2022. An inverted yield curve, ...