This paper examines the feasibility of rule-based forecasting, a procedure that applies forecasting expertise and domain knowledge to produce forecasts according to features of the data. We developed ...

Arthur Renshaw, Steven Haberman, Lee-Carter Mortality Forecasting: A Parallel Generalized Linear Modelling Approach for England and Wales Mortality Projections, Journal of the Royal Statistical ...

Ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) is a probabilistic prediction method widely used in hydrology, including at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Colorado Basin River ...

Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, has highlighted the need for greater adaptability in the forecasting techniques used by Fed economists, moving beyond traditional mathematical models. What ...